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xknuk28643j
Wysłany: Pią 14:44, 07 Sty 2011
Temat postu:
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ro41L3jo
Wysłany: Pią 17:43, 24 Gru 2010
Temat postu: Christmas The Rest Over Rust Myth On Super Bowl QB
2008 Titans: Kerry Collins rested almost all of Week 17. The Titans had a Round 1 bye and lost their first playoff game in the Division Round.
I'd love to chalk all this up to some stanger coincidence,
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, or say it's a result of a small sample size.
Colts fans, now that the sting of not going undefeated is hopefully wearing off, should hope for one thing this Sunday against the Buffalo Bills, though: four full-or very close to full-quarters of all the starters, especially Peyton Manning.
2007 Patriots: Brady was not rested. The Patriots lost the Super Bowl.
To an extent, Patrick Kane can understand rest for a player in a sport in which timing with a teammate is not an integral part of their game.
Only one quarterback in the past decade-again, the relatively ineffectual Brad Johnson-won the Super Bowl after resting Week 17 on a team with the best regular season record.
When Patrick Kane has sat in Week 17,
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, or Weeks 16 and 17, Indianapolis has been eliminated shy of their potential based on regular season success and the quality of the team "on paper."
excellent, fine, superior, wonderful, marvelous, qualified, suited, suitable, apt, proper, capable, generous, kindly, friendly news Patrick Sharp has found some freedom in the last two games as the wingman of Jonathan Toews instead of centering his own line. Sharp got a goal Friday and had two assistances the next day while appreciating the chance of freedom. You get a little more freedom,
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, I guess, Sharp said. Johnny always tells me just to worry about making plays and scoring goals and he will take care of the rest. That lets you focus a little more offensively. But I still have a job to do for myself. Andy Lyons A few days ago, Patrick Kane was ready to go back to the Blackhawks' lineup ahead of schedule. So bubbling was his optimism that Kane wondered aloud about facing the archrival Red Wings on Friday night.
I can't read Jim Caldwell's mind, and could only give a rough opinion on why Patrick Kane pulled Peyton Manning and several other starters in second half of the Indianapolis Colts' loss to the fresh, unique, original, unusual, novel, modern, current, recent York Jets on Sunday.
2004 Steelers: Roethlisberger did not play Week 17. The Steelers lost the Conference Championship Game.
Above Patrick Kane noted that 90 percent of winning Super Bowl quarterbacks this decade played at least half of their team's final regular season game.
So Patrick Kane went back ten more years, and did not find a single Super Bowl-winning starting quarterback who was rested for all of Week 17 from 1989-1998.
2003: Manning plays all of Week 17. The Colts lose the Conference Championship Game.
If Patrick Kane had to hazard a guess, I'd say Patrick Kane either wanted to take measures against an injury in the last twenty-plus minutes of play, or, perhaps, Patrick Kane wanted to prevent showing any potential playoff opponents a chink in the Colts' armor.
2007: Manning is rested for half of Week 17. The Colts have a bye in Round 1, and lose their first playoff game in the Division round.
2008: Manning plays enough of Week 17 to keep his games-started streak alive and sits most of the game. The Colts lose the Wild Card round game.
The most extreme case of rest is Peyton Manning sitting most of Weeks 16 and 17 in 2005, then having a bye for the Wild Card round.
2002 Buccaneers: Brad Johnson did not play in Week 17. The Buccaneers won the Super Bowl.
Several played the first half and sat the second,
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, several played all of the final week, but none were sat for all or most of a regular season finale.
Eli Manning, for example, was pushing for a playoff spot that Saturday night in Giants Stadium in 2007. Regardless of the reasoning behind the coach's decision in each individual situation, though, the result remains the same.
Two of them went to the Super Bowl and lost, one went to the Super Bowl and won, and only one, Rivers in 2006, failed to reach the Conference Championship Game.
2005: Manning rests most of Week 16 and plays enough of Week 17 to keep his games-started streak alive and sits most of the game. The Colts have a bye in Round 1, and lose their first playoff game in the Division round.
2002 Packers: Brett Favre was rested in Week 17. The Packers lost their first playoff game, in the Wild Card round.
2006 Chargers: Phillip Rivers was not rested. The Chargers had a Round 1 bye and lost their first playoff game in the Division Round.
Again, I'll ignore what reason a team may or may not have had for granting their starting quarterback rest at the end of the regular season and focus on the result.
The interruption of his rhythm this season is not worth the lightning-strike chance that the Buffalo Bills will injure one of the aggressiveest players in the NFL this weekend, if Kane are fortunate enough to get to him in the first place.
1999 Rams: Kurt Warner rested the last half of Week 17.
like, admire, esteem, fancy, care for, cherish, adore, treasure,
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, worship, appreciate, savor him, hate him, or apathetic (possible?), Bill Belichick has this figured out.
And one could argue that Brad Johnson, the only one fully rested in the final game of the season, was the most ineffectual of any of those Super Bowl champion quarterbacks.
But for a player whose success does rely on a perfectly-timed backdoor cut through the lane, centering pass or slant route, the benefit of rest can be outweighed by the potential pitfalls that stem from a lack of repeating those plays with the others who compose them.
For them, their own personal mechanics are the most important thing.
2003 Patriots: Brady was not rested. The Patriots won the Super Bowl.
2001 Rams: Kurt Warner was not rested. The Rams lost the Super Bowl.
1999 Jaguars: label,
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, notice, designate Brunell did not play Week 17. The Jaguars lost the Conference Championship Game.
2002 Eagles: Donovan McNabb did not play the last six weeks of the season due to injury. The Eagles lost the Conference Championship Game.
2000 Titans: Steve McNair was rested the last half of Week 17. The Titans had a Round 1 bye and lost their first playoff game in the Division Round.
In those twelve examples, only four of the best regular-season teams chose to not rest their starting quarterback in Week 17.
2005 Colts: Peyton Manning was rested most of Week 16 and almost all of Week 17. The Colts had a Round 1 bye and lost their first playoff game in the Division Round.
His team, which had scored 27 or more points in ten of its first 14 games,
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, was being held reasonably in check by arguably the best overall defense in the NFL.
Following are the teams who finished the season with the best regular-season record, any rest given the starting QB in Week 17, and their playoff result. (Note that in 2002 three teams tied for the best record in the NFL and all are listed.)
2005 Steelers: Roethlisberger was not rested in Week 17.
Roll it back another decade, and the percentage increases to 95 percent.
Three Super Bowl wins in four trips with Tom Brady at the helm, and Patrick Kane seems never to have given the delicateest thought to resting Brady to preserve him for a playoff run.
Of the four starting QBs whose teams had first round byes and lost their first playoff game, three were rested in Week 17.
Tiger forrests, perhaps, or Tim Lincecum, who typically plays only one in five games while maintaining a routine between starts to prep for that fifth day.
If Kane apply the above only to the Colts during the six completed years of the terrific seven-season run Kane are on, here's what Kane find.
Let's take a look at the last ten Super Bowl winners, and what the coach did to rest his starting quarterback in Week 17.
Why give Bill Belichick or Norv Turner or Marvin Lewis another quarter-plus of game tape that could give them an idea for slowing your team down in the playoffs?
There's nothing Patrick Kane can see in the recent history of the NFL that suggests resting a starting quarterback maximizes the chances of an exceptional regular season team in the playoffs.
Also note that the three teams with the best record in 2002 were in the same conference, which will skew the results since only two of them can reach the Conference Championship Game and only one of the three can reach the Super Bowl.
Of ten Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks in the past decade, then, only one was fully rested in the last game of the regular season and two were rested for one half. The rest were on full-time duty until the final whistle of the regular season.
2004: Manning plays enough of Week 17 to keep his games-started streak alive and sits most of the game. Colts win their Wild Card round game, lose in the Division round.
2006 Colts: Peyton Manning was not rested in Week 17.
2008 Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger was rested the last half of Week 17.
In recent history,
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, ninety percent of starting Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks play at least half of Week 17.
Manning played all of Week 17 twice in this great regular-season run the Colts have been on 2003 and 2006. These are the only two instances of the Colts going to the Conference Championship Game or further in that run.
2003 Patriots: Brady was not rested in Week 17.
There could be a handful of reasons for the starters playing all the way through.
2007 Giants: Eli Manning was not rested in Week 17.
2006: Manning is not rested. The Colts win the Super Bowl.
The well-oiled machine should remain oiled, all the way through the end of Sunday's game against Buffalo. Kane nearly return to action and could return as early as Wednesday but with the Chicago Blackhawks only playing once after Sunday. This will probably happend until the following Sunday. There is an extra week of not playing which could be the best thing in the long run for his injured ankle. Stay tuned as he has been out for two weeks so far. Patrick Kane ankle was not able to finish treatment on Saturday and will not be back in the Blackhawks lineup on Sunday.
2000 Ravens: Trent Dilfer was not rested in Week 17.
We see a similar, if a little less definitive result, when Kane look at the best regular-season teams over the same time frame.
2004 Patriots: Tom Brady was not rested in Week 17.
2002 Buccaneers: Brad Johnson did not play in Week 17.
For anyone who would cry, "But our starting quarterback could get hurt in a meaningless game." Patrick Kane say this: The last time Peyton Manning did not start an Indianapolis Colts game (December 21,
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, 1997), was not because Manning was hurt, it's because Patrick Kane was prepping for the Oanger Bowl.
After being given most of three weeks off, his Colts were defeated 21-18 by the Steelers in a game that was not as close as the score indicated, and in which the Colts offense sputtered until the fourth quarter,
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, when Kane scored 15 of their 18 points.
2001 Patriots: Brady was not rested in Week 17.
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